Start 1-Anmerkungen 2-Anmerkungen 3-Anmerkungen
2.6- Anmerkungen
1-Hitzetod (55) 2-Hunger (66)
3-Ertrinken (76) 4-Flächenbrand (88) 5-Naturkatastrophen, die
keine mehr sind (96)
2.6-
Süßwassermangel (s105) 2.7-Sterbende Meere (113) 2.8-Verpestete Luft (119)
9-Seuchenalarm (s128)
10-Wirtschaftskollaps
(135) 11-Klimakonflikte (145) 12-»Systeme« (s152)
2.6- Süßwassermangel ( s105 )
295-315
325 USGS Water Science School, »How Much Water Is There on, in, and Above the Earth?«, U.S. Geological Survey, 2. Dezember 2016, https://water.usgs.gov/ed-i/earthhowmuch.html
326 USGS Water Science School, »The World's Water«, U.S. Geological Survey, 2. Dezember 2016, https://water.usgs.gov/edu/earthwherewater.html
327 »Freshwater Crisis«, National Geographie
328 Tariq Khokhar, »Chart: Globally, 70% of Freshwater Is Used for Agriculture«, Datenblog der Weltbank, 22. März 2017, https://blogs.worldbank.org/opendata/chart-globally-70-freshwater-used-agriculture
329 »Water Consumption in Africa«, Institute Water for Africa, https://water-for-af-rica.org/en/water-consumption/articles/water-consumption-in-africa.html. Siehe auch UN-Water Decade Programme on Advocacy and Communication and Water Supply and Sanitation Collaborative Council, »The Human Right to Water and Sanitation«, www.un.org/waterforlifedecade/pdf/human_right_to_water_and_sanitation_media_brief.pdf
330 »Half the World to Face Severe Water Stress by 2030 Unless Water Use Is >Decou-pled< from Economic Growth, Says International Resource Panel«, Umweltprogramm der Vereinten Nationen, 21. März 2016, www.unenvironment.org/news-and-stories/press-release/half-world-face-severe-water-stress-2030-unless-water-use-decoupled
296-
331 »Water Audits and Water Loss Control for Public Water Systems«, Environmental Protection Agency, Juli 2013, www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-04/documents/epa816f13002.pdf
332 »Treated Water Loss Is Still High in Brazil«, Weltwasserforum, 21. November 2017, http://8.worldwaterforum.org/en/news/treated-water-loss-still-high-brazil
333 »2.1 Billion People Lack Safe Drinking Water at Home, More than Twice as Many Lack Safe Sanitation«, Weltgesundheitsorganisation, 12. Juli 2017, www.who.int/ news-room/detail/12-07-2017-2-1-billion-people-lack-safe-drinking-water-at-home-more-than-twice-as-many-lack-safe-sanitation.
334 M. Huss et al., »Toward Mountains Without Permanent Snow and Ice«, Earth's Future 5, Nr. 5, Mai 2017, S. 418-435, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000514
335 P.D.A. Kraaijenbrink, »Impact of a Global Temperature Rise of 1.5 Degrees Celsius on Asia's Glaciers«, Nature 549, September 2017, S. 257-260, https://doi. org/10.1038/nature23878
336 Mark Lynas, Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet, Washington, D. C, National Geographie Society, 2008, S. 202. Siehe auch Christoph Marty et al„ »How Much Can We Save? Impact of Different Emission Scenarios on Future Snow Cover in the Alps«, The Cryosphere, 2017
337 Klimarahmenkonvention der Vereinten Nationen, »Climate Change: Impacts, Vulnerabihties and Adaptation in Developing Countries«, New York, 2007, S. 5, https:// unfccc.int/resource/docs/publications/impacts.pdf
338 Charles Fant et al., »Protections of Water Stress Based on an Ensemble of Socio-economic Growth and Climate Change Scenarios: A Case Study in Asia«, PLOS One 11, Nr. 3, März 2016, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0150633
339 Weltbank, »High and Dry: Climate Change, Water, and the Economy«, Washington, D.C., 2016, S. vi
340 UN Water, »The United
Nations World Water Development Report 2018: Natu-re-Based Solutions for Water«,
Paris, 2018, S. 3, http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/ 0026/002614/261424e.pdf.
341 Marcello Rossi, »Desert City Phoenix Mulls Ways to Quench Thirst of
Sprawling Suburbs«, Thomson Reuters Foundation News, 7. Juni 2018,
news.trust.org/item/ 20180607120002-7kwzq.
342 Edoardo Borgomeo, »Will London Run Out of Water?«, The Conversation, 24. Mai
2018, https://theconversation.com/will-london-run-out-of-water-97107.
343 Rina Saeed Khan, »Water Pressures Rise in Pakistan as Drought Meets a
Growing Population«, Reuters, 14. Juni 2018,
https://af.reuters.com/article/commoditiesNews/ idAFL5NlT7502.
344 NASA Earth Observatory, »World of Change: Shrinking Aral Sea«, https://
earthobservatory.nasa.gov/WorldOfChange/AralSea.
345 NASA Earth Observatory, »Bolivia's Lake Poopö Disappears«, 23. Januar 2016,
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/87363/bolivias-lake-poopo-disappears.
346 Amir AghaKouchak et al., »Aral Sea Syndrome Desiccates Lake Urmia: Call for
Action«, Journal ofGreat Lakes Research 41, Nr. 1, März 2015, S. 307-311,
https://doi. org/10.1016/j.jglr.2014.12.007.
347 »Africa's Vanishing Lake Chad«, Africa Renewal, April 2012,
www.un.org/africa-renewal/magazine/april-2012/africa%E2%80%99s-vanishing-lake-chad.
348 Boqiang Qin et al., »A Drinking Water Crisis in Lake Taihu, China: Linkage
to Climatic Variability and Lake Management«, Environmental Management 45, Nr.
1, Januar 2010, S. 105-112, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-009-9393-6.
349 Jessica E. Tierney et al., »Late-Twentieth-Century Warming in Lake
Tanganyika Unprecedented Since AD 500«, Nature Geoscience 3, Mai 2010, S.
422-425, https://doi. org/10.1038/ngeo865. Siehe auch unter anderem Clea
Broadhurst, »Global Warming Depletes Lake Tanganikya's Fish Stocks«, RFI, 9.
August 2016, http://en.rfi.fr/africa/
20160809-global-warming-responsible-decline-fish-lake-tanganyika.
350 E. J. S. Emilson et al., »Climate Driven Shifts in Sediment Chemistry
Enhance Methane Production in Northern Lakes«, Nature Communications 9, Nr.
1801, Mai 2018, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04236-2. Siehe auch David
Bastviken et al., »Methane Emissions from Lakes: Dependence of Lake
Characteristics, Two Regional Assessments, and a Global Estimate«, Global
Biogeochemical Cycles 18,2004, https://doi. org/10.1029/2004GB002238.
351 »Greenhouse Gas >Feedback Loop< Discovered in Freshwater Lakes«, University
of Cambridge, 4. Mai 2018,
www.cam.ac.uk/research/news/greenhouse-gas-feedback-loop-discovered-in-freshwater-lakes.
352 USGS Water Science School, »Groundwater Use in the United States«, U. S.
Geo-logical Survey, 26. Juni 2018, https://water.usgs.gov/edu/wugw.html.
353 Brian Clark Howard, »California Drought Spurs Groundwater Drilling Boom in
Central Valley«, National Geographie, 16. August 2014.
354 Kevin Wilcox, »Aquifers Depleted in Colorado River Basin«, Civil
Engineering, 5. August 2014,
www.asce.org/magazine/20140805-aquifers-depleted-in-colorado-river-basin.
355 Sandra Postel, »Drought Hastens Groundwater Depletion in the Texas
Panhandle«, National Geographie, 24. Juli 2014.
356 Kansas State University, »Study Forecasts Future Water Levels of Crucial
Agricultural Aquifer«, K-State News, 26. August 2013,
www.k-state.edu/media/newsrelea-ses/augl3/groundwater82613.html. Siehe auch
David R. Steward et al„ »Tapping Unsustainable Groundwater Stores for
Agricultural Production in the High Plains Aquifer of Kansas, Protections to
2110«, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences ofthe UnitedStates of
America 110, Nr. 37, September 2013, S. E3477-E3486, https://doi.
°rg/10.1073/pnas.l220351110.
297
357 NITI Aayog, Composite Water Management Index, S. 22, www.niti.gov.in/write-readdata/files/document_publication/2018-05-18-Water-index-Report_vS6B.pdf
358 City of Cape Town, »Day Zero: When Is It, What Is It, and How Can We Avoid It?«, 15. November 2017, www.capetown.gov.za/Media-and-news/Day%20Zero%20 when%20is%20it,%20what%20is%20it,%20and%20how%20can%20we%20avoid% 20it?
359 Adam Welz, »Letter from a Bed in Cape Town«, Sierra, 12. Februar 2018, www. sierraclub.org/sierra/letter-bed-cape-town-drought-day-zero
360 Mark Milligan, »Glad You Asked: Does Utah Really Use More Water than Any Other State?«, Utah Geological Survey, https://geology.utah.gov/map-pub/survey-notes/ glad-you-asked/does-utah-use-more-water
361 UNESCO, Water: A Shared Responsibility - The United Nations World Water Development Report 2, Paris, 2006, S. 502, http://unesdoc.unesco.org/images/0014/ 001454/145405e.pdf#page=519
362 Stephen Leahy, »From Not Enough to Too Much, the World's Water Crisis Explained«, National Geographie, 22. März 2018
363 Public Policy Institute for California, »Water Use in California«, Juli
2016, www. ppic.org/ publication/water- use-in-California.
364 Jon Gerberg, »A Megacity Without Water: Sao Paulos Drought«, Time, 13.
Oktober 2015. Siehe auch Simon Romero, »Taps Start to Run Dry in Brazil's
Largest City«, The New York Times, 16. Februar 2015.
365 Graham Keeley, »Barcelona Forced to Import Emergency Water«, The Guardian,
14. Mai 2008.
366 »Recent Rainfall, Drought and Southern Australia's Long-Term Rainfall
Decline«, Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, April 2015, www.bom.gov.
au/climate/updates/articles/aOlO-southern-rainfall-decline.shtml.
367 Albert I. J.M. van Dijk et al., »The Millennium Drought in Southeast
Australia (2001-2009): Natural and Human Causes and Implications for Water
Resources, Eco-systems, Economy, and Society«, Water Resources Research 49,
Februar 2013, S. 1040-1057, http://doi.org/10.1002/wrcr.20123.
368 »Managing Water for the Environment During Drought: Lessons from Victoria,
Australia, Technical Appendices«, Public Policy Institute of California, San
Francisco, Juni 2016, S. 8,
www.ppic.org/content/pubs/other/0616JMR_appendix.pdf.
369 Michael Safi, »Washing Is a Privilege: Life on the Frontline of India's
Water Crisis«, The Guardian, 21. Juni 2018. Siehe auch Maria Abi-Habib und Hari
Kumar, »Deadly Tensions Rise as India's Water Supply Runs Dangerously Low«, The
New York Times, 17. Juni 2018.
370 Mesfin M. Mekonnen und Arjen Y. Hoekstra, »Four Billion People Facing Severe Water Scarcity«, Science Advances 2, Nr. 2, Februar 2016, https://doi.org/10.1126/ sciadv. 1500323
298
371 Weltbank, »High and Dry«, S. 5
372 Ebd., S. vi.
373 Ebd., S. 13.
374 »Water Conflict«, Pacific Institute: The World's Water, Mai 2018. www.
worldwater.org/water-conflict.
375 International Committee of the Red Cross, »Health Crisis in Yemen«,
www.icrc. org/en/where-we-work/middle-east/yemen/health-crisis-yemen.
2.7- Sterbende Meere
376 Carson war erst dreißig, als sie diesen Essay in The Atlantic veröffentlichte, und arbeitete zu der Zeit noch als Biologin für die Fischereiabteilung des U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. In den Meeren, schrieb sie, »sehen wir Teile des Plans Gestalt annehmen: Das Wasser empfängt die simplen Materialien von der Erde und aus der Luft, speichert sie, bis die versammelte Energie des Frühlings die schlafenden Pflanzen in einem Ausbruch geballter Energie weckt, hungrige Scharen von Planktontieren wachsen und vermehren sich auf der Pflanzenfülle und werden selbst wiederum zur Beute der Fischschwärme; letzten Endes löst sich alles in seine Bestandteile auf, wenn es die unerbittlichen Gesetze des Meeres verlangen. Einzelne Elemente verschwinden aus der Sicht, nur um immer wieder in einer Art materieller Unsterblichkeit in verschiedenen Verkörperungen wiederzukehren. Verwandte Kräfte derjenigen, die in einer unvorstellbar weit entfernten Ära jenes Urelement des Protoplasmas hervorgebracht hat, das im uralten Meer umhertrieb, führen ihre mächtige und undurchdringliche Arbeit fort. Vor diesem kosmischen Hintergrund erscheint die Lebensspanne einer bestimmten Pflanze oder eines einzelnen Tieres nicht wie ein in sich geschlossenes Drama, sondern eher wie ein kurzes Zwischenspiel in einem Panorama des endlosen Wandels.«
377 National Ocean Service, »How Much Water Is in the Ocean?«, National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration, 25. Juni 2018,
https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/ oceanwater.html.
378 »Availability and Consumption of Fish«, Weltgesundheitsorganisation, www.
who.int/nutrition/topics/3_foodconsumption/en/index5.html.
379 Malin L. Pinsky et al., »Preparing Ocean Governance for Species on the
Move«, Science 360, Nr. 6394, Juni 2018, S. 1189-1191,
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aat2360.
380 Kendall R. Jones et al., »The Location and Protection Status of Earth's
Diminis-hing Marine Wilderness«, Current Biology 28, Nr. 15, August 2018, S.
2506-2512, https://doi.org/10.1016/jxub.2018.06.010. Siehe auch Sigrid Lind et
al., »Arctic Warnung Hotspot in the Northern Barents Sea Linked to Declining
Sea-Ice Import«, Nature Climate Change 8, Juni 2018, S. 634-639,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0205-y.
381 Rob Monroe, »How Much C02 Can the Oceans Take Up?«, Scripps Institution °r
Oceanography, 13. Juli 2013,
https://scripps.ucsd.edu/programs/keelingcurve/2013/
299
07/03/how-much-co2-can-the-oceans-take-up. Siehe auch Peter J. Gleckler et al., »In-dustrial-Era Global Ocean Heat Uptake Doubles in Recent Decades«, Nature Climate Change 6, Januar 2016, S. 394-398, https://doi.org/10.1038/ndimate2915
382 Australian Government Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority, »Managing the Reef«
383 Robinson Meyer, »Since 2016, Half of All Coral in the Great Barrier Reef Has Died«, The Atlantic, April 2018
384 Michon Scott und Rebecca Lindsey, »Unprecedented Three Years of Global Coral Bleaching, 2014-2017«, Climate.gov, 1. August 2018, www.climate.gov/news-features/ understanding-climate/unprecedented-3-years-global-coral-bleaching-2014%E2% 80%932017
385 C. C. Baldwin et al., »Below the Mesophotic«, Scientific Reports 8, Nr. 4920, März 2018, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-23067-1
386 Lauretta Burke et al., »Reefs at Risk Revisited«, World Resources Institute, Washington, D. C, 2011, S. 6, https://wriorg.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/pdf/reefs_ at_risk_revisited.pdf
387 Ocean Portal Team, »Corals and Coral Reefs«, Smithsonian, April 2018, https:// ocean.si.edu/ocean-life/invertebrates/corals-and-coral-reefs
388 »Coral Ecosystems«, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, www. noaa.gov/resource-collections/coral-ecosystems
389 Michael W. Beck et al., »The Global Flood Protection Savings Provided by
Coral Reefs«, Nature Communications 9, Nr. 2186, Juni 2018,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04568-z.
390 Kate Madin, »Ocean Acidification: A Risky Shell Game«, Oceanus Magazine, 4.
Dezember 2009,
www.whoi.edu/oceanus/feature/ocean-acidification--a-risky-shell-game. Siehe auch
Cosima Porteus et al., »Near-Future C02 Levels Impair the Olfactory System of
Marine Fish«, Nature Climate Change 8, 23. Juli 2018.
391 Graham Edgar und Trevor J. Ward, »Australian Commercial Fish Populations
Drop by a Third over Ten Years«, The Conversation, 6. Juni 2018,
https://theconversa-tion.com/australian-commercial-fish-populations-drop-by-a-third-over-ten-years-97689.
392 Jurriaan M. De Vos et al., »Estimating the Normal Background Rate of Species
Extinction«, Conservation Biology, 26. August 2014.
393 A. H. Altieri und K. B. Gedan, »Climate Change and Dead Zones«, Global
Change Biology, 10. November 2014, https://doi.org/10.ll ll/gcb.12754.
394 »SOS: Is Climate Change Suffocating Our Seas?«, National Science Foundation,
www.nsf.gov/news/special_reports/deadzones/climatechange.jsp.
395 Bastien Y. Queste et al., »Physical Controls on Oxygen Distribution and
Denitri-fication Potential in the North West Arabian Sea«, Geophysical Research
Letters 45, Nr. 9, Mai 2018. Siehe auch »Growing >Dead Zone< Conflrmed by
Underwater Robots«
(Pressemeldung), University of East Anglia, 27. April 2018,
www.uea.ac.uk/about/-/
growing-dead-zone-conflrrned-by-underwater-robots-in-the-gulf-of-oman.
300
396 Peter Brannen, »A Foreboding Similarity in Today's Oceans and a 94-Milli-on-Year-Old Catastrophe«, The Atlantic, 12. Januar 2018. Siehe auch Dana Nuccitelli, »Burning Coal May Have Caused Earth's Worst Mass Extinction«, The Guardian, 12. März 2018.
397 National Ocean Service, »Currents: The Global Conveyor Belt«, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/education/tutorial_ currents/05conveyor2.html.
398 Stefan Rahmstorf et al., »Exceptional Twentieth-Century Slowdown in Atlantic Ocean Overturning Circulation«, Nature Climate Change 5, Mai 2015, https://doi. org/10.1038/nclimate2554.
399 L. Caesar et al., »Observed Fingerprint of a Weakening AÜantic Ocean Overturning Circulation«, Nature 556, April 2018, S. 191-196, https://doi.org/10.1038/ s41586-018-0006-5; David J. R. Thornalley et al., »Anomalously weak Labrador Sea convection and Atlantic overturning during the past 150 years«, Nature 556, April 2018, S. 227-230, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0007-4.
400 Joseph Romm, »Dangerous Climate Tipping Point Is >About a Century Ahead of Schedule< Wams Scientist«, Think Progress, 12. April 2018.
2.8- Verpestete Luft
401 Joseph Romm, Climate Change: What Everyone Needs to Know, Oxford, Oxford
University Press, 2016, S. 113.
402 Ebd., S. 114.
403 Ploy Achakulwisut et al., »Drought Sensitivity in Fine Dust in the U.S.
Southwest«, Environmental Research Letters 13, Mai 2018,
https://doi.org/10.1088/ 1748-9326/aabf20.
404 G.G. Pflster et al., »Protections of Future Summertime Ozone over the U.S.«,
Journal ofGeophysical Research Atmospheres 119, Nr. 9, Mai 2014, S. 5559-5582,
https:// doi.org/10.1002/2013JD020932.
405 Romm, Climate Change, 2016, S. 105.
406 DARA, Climate Vulnerability Monitor: A Guide to the Cold Calculus of a Hot Planet, 2nd ed., Madrid, 2012, S. 17, https://daraint.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/ CVM2-Low.pdf. James Hansen hat diesen Vergleich bei mehreren Gelegenheiten angestellt, auch in einem Interview mit mir, das unter dem Titel »Climate Scientist James Hansen: >The Planet Could Become Ungovernable<« am 12. Juli 2017 in der Zeitschrift New York erschien.
407 Xin Zhang et al., »The Impact of Exposure to Air Pollution on Cognitive Performance«, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 155, Nr. 37, September 2018,'S. 9193-9197, https://doi org/10.1073/pnas.l809474115. Der Co-Autor Xi Chen äußerte sich so gegenüber mehreren Nachrichtenmedien, darunter The Guardian: Damian Carrington und Lily Kuo, »Air Pollution Causes >Huge< Reduction in Intelli-gence, Study Reveals«, 27. August 2018.
301
408 Joshua Goodman et al., »Heat and Learning«, Arbeitspapier des National Bureau of Economic Research Nr. 24639, Mai 2018, https://doi.org/10.3386/w24639.
409 Anna Oudin et al., »Association Between Neighbourhood Air Pollution Con-centrations and Dispensed Medication for Psychiatric Disorders in a Large Longitudi-nal Cohort of Swedish Children and Adolescents«, BMJOpen 6, Nr. 6, Juni 2016, https:// doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010004. Siehe auch Hong Chen et al., »Living near Major Roads and the Incidence of Dementia, Parkinsons Disease, and Multiple Sclero-sis: A Population-Based Cohort Study«, The Lancet 389, Nr. 10070, Februar 2017, S. 718-726, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32399-6
410 Adam Isen et al., »Every Breath You Take - Every Dollar You'll Make: The Long-Term Consequences of the Clean Air Act of 1970«, Arbeitspapier des National Bureau of Economic Research Nr. 19858, September 2015, https://doi.org/10.3386/wl9858
411 Janet Currie und W. Reed Walker, »Traffic Congestion and Infant Health: Evi-dence from E-ZPass«, Arbeitspapier des National Bureau of Economic Research Nr. 15413, April 2012, https://doi.org/10.3386/wl5413
412 Yufei Zou et al., »Arctic Sea Ice, Eurasia Snow, and Extreme Winter Haze in China«, Science Advances 3, Nr. 3, März 2017, https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1602751
413 Steve LeVine, »Pollution Score: Beijing 993, New York 19«, Quartz, 14. Januar 2013, https://qz.com/43298/pollution-score-beijing-993-new-york-19
414 Lijian Han et al., »Multicontaminant Air Pollution in Chinese Cities«,
Bulletin of the World Health Organization 96, Februar 2018.S.233-242E,
http://dx.doi.org/10.2471 / BLT17.195560; Fred Pearce, »How a >Toxic Cocktail<
Is Posing a Troubling Health Risk in Chinas Cities«, Yale Environment 360, 17.
April 2018, https://e360.yale.edu/features/
how-a-toxic-cocktail-is-posing-a-troubling-health-risk-in-chinese-cities.
415 Jun Liu et al., »Estimating Adult Mortality Attributable to PM2.5 Exposure
in China with Assimilated PM2.5 Concentrations Based on a Ground Monitoring
Network«, Science ofthe Total Environment 568, Oktober 2016, S. 1253-1262,
https://doi. org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.05.165.
416 Michelle Robertson, »It's Not Just Fog Turning the Sky Gray: SF Air Quality
Is Three Times Worse than Beijing«, SF Gate, 23. August 2018.
417 Eine Twitter-Meldung aus dem Büro des Bürgermeisters im August 2018 lautete:
»Die heutige Luftqualität ist offiziell als UNGESUND FÜR DIE GESAMTE BEVÖKE-RUNG
eingestuft worden. Bleiben Sie im Haus, arbeiten Sie so wenig wie möglich
draußen und lassen Sie das Auto stehen.«
418 Rachel Feltman, »Air Pollution in Delhi Is Literally off the Charts«,
Populär Science, 8. November 2016.
302
419 Richard A. Muller und Elizabeth A. Muller, »Air Pollution and Cigarette Equi-valence«, Berkeley Earth, http://berkeleyearth.org/air-pollution-and-cigarette-equiva-lence. Siehe auch Durgesh Nandan Jha, »Pollution Causing Arthritis to Flare Up, 20 % Rise in Patients at Hospitals«, The Times oflndia, 11. November 2017
420 »Blinding Smog Causes 24-Vehicle Pile-up on Expressway near Delhi«, NDTV, 8. November 2017. Siehe auch Catherine Ngai, Jamie Freed und Henning Gloystein, »United Resumes Newark-Delhi Flights After Halt Due to Poor Air Quality«, Reuters, 12. November 2017, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-airlines-india-pollution/united-resumes-newark-delhi-flights-after-halt-due-to-poor-air-quality-idUSKBNlDC 142?il=0
421 Benjamin D. Hörne et al., »Short-Term Elevation of Fine Particulate Matter Air Pollution and Acute Lower Respiratory Infection«, American Journal of Respiratory and CriticalCare Mediane 198, Nr. 6, September 2018, https://doi.org/10.1164/rccm.201709-18830C
422 Pamela Das und Richard Horton, »Pollution, Health, and the Planet: Time for Decisive Action«, The Lancet 391, Nr. 10119, Oktober 2017, S. 407-408, https://doi. org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32588-6
423 Kuam Ken Lee et al., »Air Pollution and Stroke«, Journal of Stroke 20, Nr.
1, Januar 2018, S. 2-11, https://doi.org/10.5853/jos.2017.02894. Zum
Schlaganfall siehe auch R. D. Brook et al., »Particulate Matter Air Pollution
and Cardiovascular Disease: An Update to the Scientific Statement from the
American Heart Association«, Circulation 121, Nr. 21, Juni 2010, S. 2331-2378,
https://doi.org/10.1161/CIR.0b013e3181dbecel. Zu Krebserkrankungen siehe auch
Kate Kelland und Stephanie Nebehay, »Air Pollution a Leading Cause of Cancer U.
N. Agency«, Reuters, 17. Oktober 2013, www.reuters.com/
article/us-cancer-pollution/air-pollution-a-leading-cause-of-cancer-u-n-agency-id
USBRE99G0BB20131017. Zu Atemwegsbeschwerden siehe auch Michael Guarnieri und
fohn R. Balmes, »Outdoor Air Pollution and Asthma«, The Lancet 383, Nr. 9928,
Mai 2014, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60617-6. Zu Komplikationen in
der Schwangerschaft siehe auch Jessica Glenza, »Millions of Premature Births
Could Be Linked to Air Pollution, Study Finds«, The Guardian, 16. Februar 2017.
424 Nicole Wetsman, »Air Pollution Might Be the New Lead«, Populär Science, 5.
April 2018. Zu ADHS siehe Oddvar Myhre et al., »Early Life Exposure to Air
Pollution Particulate Matter (PM) as Risk Factor for Attention
Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD): Need for Novel Strategies for Mechanisms
and Causalities«, Toxicology and Applied Pharmacology 354, September 2018, S.
196-214, https://doi.Org/10.1016/j. taap.2018.03.015. Zu Autismus siehe Raanan
Raz et al., »Autism Spectrum Disorder and Particulate Matter Air Pollution
Before, During, and After Pregnancy: A Nested Case-Control Analysis Within the
Nurses' Health Study II Cohort«, Environmental Health Perspectives 123, Nr. 3,
März 2015, S. 264-270, https://doi.org/10.1289/ ehp.l408133.
303
425 Sam Brockmeyer und
Amedeo D'Angiulli, »How Air Pollution Alters Brain Development: The Role of
Neuroinflammation«, Translational Neuroscience 7, März 2016, S. 24-30,
https://doi.org/10.1515/tnsci-2016-0005. Zu DNS-Deformationen siehe auch
Frederica Perera et al., »Shorter Telomere Length in Cord Blood Associated with
Pre-natal Air Pollution Exposure: Benefits of Intervention«, Environment
International 113, April 2018, S. 335-340,
https://doi.Org/10.1016/j.envint.2018.01.005
426 Weltgesundheitsorganisation, »WHO Global Urban Ambient Air Pollution
Database«, 2016,
www.who.int/phe/health_topics/outdoorair/databases/cities/en
427 Health Effects Institute, »State of Global Air 2018: A Special Report on
Global F.xposure to Air Pollution and lts Disease Bürden«, Boston, 2018, S. 3,
www.stateofglo-balair.org/sites/default/files/soga-2018-report.pdf.
428 Aaron J. Cohen et al., »Estimates and 25-Year Trends of the Global Bürden of
Disease Attributable to Ambient Air Pollution: An Analysis of Data from the
Global Bürden of Diseases Study 2015«, The Lancet 389, Nr. 10082, Mai 2017, S.
1907-1918, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)30505-6.
429 Pamela Das und Richard Horton, »Pollution, Health, and the Planet«, https://
doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32588-6.
430 Das Smithsonian-M&gazin bezeichnet ihn eher als »Müllsuppe«.
431 Imogen E. Napper und Richard C. Thompson, »Release of Synthetic
Microplas-tic Fibres from Domestic Washing Machines: Effects of Fabric Type and
Washing Con-ditions«, Marine Pollution Bulletin 112, Nr. 1-2, November 2016, S.
39-45, http://dx.doi. org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2016.09.025.
432 Kat Kerlin, »Plastic for Dinner: A Quarter of Fish Sold at Markets Contain
Human-Made Debris«, UC Davis, 24. September 2015, www.ucdavis.edu/news/
plastic-dinner-quarter-fish-sold-markets-contain-human-made-debris.
433 Lisbeth Van Cauwenberghe und Colin R. Janssen, »Microplastics in Bivlaves
Cultures for Human Consumption«, Environmental Pollution 193, Oktober 2014, S.
65-70, https://doi.Org/10.1016/j.envpol.2014.06.010.
434 Clive Cookson, »The Problem with Plastic: Can Our Oceans Survive?«,
Financial Times, 23. Januar 2018.
435 Alina. M. Wieczorek et al., »Frequency of Microplastics in Mesopelagic
Fishes from the Northwest Atlantic«, Frontiers in Marine Science, Februar 2018,
https://doi. org/10.3389/fmars.2018.00039.
436 Jiana Lee et al., »Microplastics in Musseis Sampled from Coastal Waters and
Supermarkets in the United Kingdom«, Environmental Pollution 241, Oktober 2018,
S. 35-44, https://doi.Org/10.1016/j.envpol.2018.05.038.
437 Matthew S. Savoca et al., »Odours from Marine Plastic Debris Induce Food
Search Behaviours in a Forage Fish«, Proceedings ofthe Royal Society B
Biological Sciences 284, Nr. 1860, August 2017,
https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2017.1000.
438 Amanda L. Dawson et al., »Turning Microplastics into Nanoplastics Through
Digestive Fragmentation by Antarctic Krill«, Nature Communications 9, Nr. 1001,
März 2018,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-03465-9
304
439 Courtney Humphries, »Freshwater's Macro Microplastic Problem«, Nova, 11. Mai
2017, www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/article/freshwater-microplastics.
440 Cookson, »The Problem with Plastic«, 2018.
441 Ali Karami et al., »The Presence of Microplastics in Commercial Salts from
Dif-ferent Countries«, Scientific Reports 7, Nr. 46173, April 2017,
https://doi.org/10.1038/ srep46173.
442 5 Gyres, Science to Solutions, »Take Action: Microbeads«, www.5gyres.org/
microbeads.
443 Johnny Gasperi et al., »Microplastics in Air: Are We Breathing It In?«,
Current Opinion in Environmental Science and Health 1, Februar 2018, S. 1-5,
https://doi. org/10.1016/j.coesh.2017.10.002. Siehe auch Dan Morrison und
Christopher Tyree, »Invisibles: The Plastic Inside Us«, Orb, 2017,
https://orbmedia.org/stories/Invisibles_ plastics.
444 Weltwirtschaftsforum, The New Plastics Economy: Rethinking the Future of
Plastics, Cologny, Schweiz, Januar 2016, S. 10.
445 Sarah-Jeanne Royer et al., »Production of Methane and Ethylene from Plastic
in the Environment«, PLOS One 13, Nr. 8, August 2018,
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal. pone.0200574.
446 B. H. Samset et al., »Climate Impacts from a Removal of Anthropogenic
Aerosol Emissions«, Geophysical Research Letters 45, Nr. 2, Januar 2018, S.
1020-1029, https:// doi.org/10.1002/2017GL076079.
447 Samset, »Climate Impacts from a Removal«, https://doi.org/10.1002/
2017GL076079. Samset selbst sagt: »Die Erderwärmung beträgt heute ungefähr ein
Grad. Unser Artikel legt dar, dass der durch die Industrie und vom Menschen
verursachte Aerosolausstoß ungefähr ein halbes Grad zusätzlichen Anstieg
verdeckt.« Und weil sich die Wärme so ungleich über den Globus verteilt, fügt er
hinzu, »gibt es zwei Modelle, in denen die Erwärmung aufgrund der Reduktion der
Aerosole in der Arktis in manchen Bereichen vier Grad erreicht.«
448 P. J. Crutzen, »Albedo Enhancement by Stratospheric Sulfur Injections: A
Con-tribution to Resolve a Policy Dilemma?«, Climatic Change77, 2006, S.
211-219, https:// doi.org/10.1007/sl0584-006-9101-y.
449 Eric Holthaus, »Devil's Bargain«, Grist, 8. Februar 2018,
https://grist.org/article/
geoengineering-climate-change-air-pollution-save-planet.
450 Diese Einschätzung zur Anzahl der Toten durch Luftverschmutzung stammt von
der Weltgesundheitsorganisation.
451 Sebastian D. Eastham et al„ »Quantifying the Impact of Sulfate
Geoengineering °n Mortality from Air Quality and UV-B Exposure«, Atmospheric
Environment 187, A"gust 2018, S. 424-434,
https://doi.Org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2018.05.047
305
452 Christopher H. Trisos et al., »Potentially Dangerous Consequences for Biodiver-sity of Solar Geoengineering Implementation and Termination«, Nature Ecology and Evolution 2, Januar 2018, S. 472-482, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-017-0431-0
453 Jonathan Proctor et al., »Estimating Global Agricultural Effects of Geoengineering Using Volcanic Eruptions«, Nature 560, August 2018, S. 480-483, https://doi. org/10.1038/s41586-018-0417-3
2.9- Seuchenalarm
454 Jasmin Fox-Skelly, »There Are Diseases Hidden in Ice, and They Are Waking Up«, BBC, 4. Mai 2017, www.bbc.com/earth/story/20170504-there-are-diseases-hidden-in-ice-and-they-are-waking-up
455 »NASA Finds Life at >Extremes<«, NASA, 24. Februar 2005, www.nasa.gov/ vision/earth/livingthings/extremophile 1 .html
456 Kay D. Bidle et al., »Fossil Genes and Microbes in the Oldest Ice on Earth«, Pro-ceedings ofthe National Academies of Science 104, Nr. 33, August 2007, S. 13455-13460, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0702196104
457 Jordan Pearson, »Meet the Scientist Who Injected Himself with 3.5 Million-Year-Old Bacteria«, Motherboard, 9. Dezember 2015, https://motherboard.vice.com/ en_us/article/yp3gg7/meet-the-scientist-who-injected-himself-with-35-million-year-old-bacteria
458 Mike McRae, »A Tiny Worm Frozen in Siberian Permafrost for 42 000 Years Was Just Brought Back to Life«, Science Alert, 27. Juli 2018, www.sciencealert.com/40-000-year-old-nematodes-revived-siberian-permafrost
459 Jeffery K. Taubenberger et al., »Discovery and Characterization ofthe 1918 Pan-demic Influenza Virus in Historical Context«, Antiviral Therapy 12,2007, S. 581-591
460 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, »Remembering the 1918 Influenza Pandemic«, www.cdc.gov/features/1918-flu-pandemic/index.html; Jeffrey K. Taubenberger und David Morens, »1918 Influenza: The Mother of All Pandemics«, Emerging Infectious Diseases 12, Nr. 1, Januar 2006, S. 15-22, https://dx.doi.org/10.3201/ eidl201.050979. Siehe auch U.S. Census Bureau, »Historical Estimates of World Population«, www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/international-programs/histo-rical-est-worldpop.html
461 »Experts Warn of Threat of Born-Again Smallpox from Old Siberian Graveyards«, The Siberian Times, 12. August 2016, https://siberiantimes.com/science/opinion/ features/f0249-experts-warn-of-threat-of-born-again-smallpox-from-old-siberian-graveyards. Siehe auch Fox-Skelly, »There Are Diseases Hidden in Ice«. Siehe weiterhin Robinson Meyer, »The Zombie Diseases of Climate Change«, The Atlantic, 6. November 2017
462 Michaeleen Doucleff, »Anthrax Outbreak in Russia Thought to Be Result ot Thawing Permafrost«, NPR, 3. August 2016, www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/ 2016/08/03/488400947/anthrax-outbreak-in-russia-thought-to-be-result-of-thawing-permafrost
306
463 Weltgesundheitsorganisation, »Yellow Fever - Brazil«, 9. März 2018, www.who.int/csr/don/09-march-2018-yellow-fever-brazil
464 Shasta Darlington und Donald G. McNeil Jr., »Yellow Fever Circles Brazil's Huge Cities«, The New York Times, 8. März 2018. Siehe auch Weltgesundheitsorganisation, »Yellow Fever - Brazil«, 9. März 2018, www.who.int/csr/don/09-march-2018-yellow-fever-brazil
465 Weltgesundheitsorganisation, »Number of Malaria Deaths«, www.who.int/gho/ malaria/epidemic/deaths. Siehe auch Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, »Epidemiology«, www.cdc.gov/dengue/epidemiology/index.html
466 »Zika Microcephaly Linked to Single Mutation«, Nature, 3. Oktober 2017, www.nature.com/articles/d41586-017-04093-x
467 Ling Yuan et al., »A Single Mutation in the prM Protein of Zika Virus Contribu-tes to Fetal Microcephaly«, Science 358, Nr. 6365, November 2017, S. 933-936, https:// doi.org/10.1126/science.aam7120
468 Declan Butler, »Brazil Asks Whether Zika Acts Alone to Cause Birth Defects«, Nature, 25. Juli 2016, www.nature.com/news/brazil-asks-whether-zika-acts-alone-to-cause-birth-defects-1.20309
469 Serie der Weltbankgruppe zu Klimawandel und Entwicklung, »Shock Waves: Managing the Impacts of Climate Change on Poverty«, Washington, D. C, 2016, S. 119, https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/22787/9781464 806735.pdf
470 Mary Beth Pfeiffer, Lyme: The First Epidemie of Climate Change, Washington,
D.C., Island Press, 2018, S. 3-13.
471 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, »Lyme and Other Tickborne
Diseases«, www.cdc.gov/media/dpk/diseases-and-conditions/lyme-disease/index.
html.
472 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, »Illnesses from Mosquito, Tick,
and Flea Bites Increasing in the U.S.«, 1. Mai 2018,
www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2018/ p0501-vs-vector-borne.html. Siehe auch Avichai
Scher und Lauren Dünn, »>Citizen Scientists< Take On Growing Threat of Tick-B
orne Diseases«, NBC News, 12. Juli 2018,
www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/citizen-scientists-take-growing-threat-tick-borne-diseases-n890996.
473 Center for Biological Diversity, »Saving the Midwestern Moose«,
www.biologi-caldiversity.org/species/mammals/midwestern_moose/index.html.
474 Katie Burton, »Climate-Change Triggered Ticks Causing Rise in >Ghost
Moose<«, Geographical, 27. November 2018,
http://geographical.co.uk/nature/wildlife/item/3008-ghost-moose
307
475 Dennis Carroll et al., »The Global Virome Project«, Science 359, Nr. 6378, Februar 2018, S. 872-874, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aap7463
476 Nathan Collins, »Stanford Study Indicates That More than 99 Percent of the
Microbes Inside Us Are Unknown to Science«, Stanford News, 22. August 2017,
https:// news.stanford.edu/2017/08/22/nearly-microbes-inside-us-unknown-science.
477 Ed Yong, »Why Did Two-Thirds of These Weird Antelope Suddenly Drop Dead?«,
The Atlantic, 17. Januar 2018.
478 Richard A. Kock et al., »Saigas on the Brink: Multidisciplinary Analysis of
the Factors Influencing Mass Mortality Events«, Science Advances 4, Nr. 1,
Januar 2018, https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aao2314.
2.10- Wirtschaftskollaps
479 Eric Hobsbawm, Industrie und Empire: Britische Wirtschaftsgeschichte seit
1750, Frankfurt a.M., Suhrkamp, 1969, S. 55.
480 Solomon Hsiang et al., »Estimating Economic Damage from Climate Change in
the United States«, Science 356, Nr. 6345, Juni 2017, S. 1362-1369,
https://doi.org/ 10.1126/science.aal4369.
481 Marshall Burke et al., »Global Non-Linear Effect of Temperature on Economic
Production«, Nature 527, Oktober 2015, S. 235-239, https://doi.org/10.1038/
nature 15725.
482 Marshall Burke, »Economic Impact of Climate Change on the World«, http://
web.stanford.edu/~mburke/climate/map.php.
483 Thomas Stoerk et al., »Recommendations for Improving the Treatment of Risk
and Uncertainty in Economic Estimates of Climate Impacts in the Sixth
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Report«, Review of
Environmental Econo-mics andPolicy 12, Nr. 2, August 2018, S. 371-376,
https://doi.org/10.1093/reep/rey005.
484 Weltbank, »GDP Growth (Annual %)«, https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/
NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG.
485 Burke, »Economic Impact of Climate Change«, http://web.stanford.edu/~mburke/
climate/map.php.
486 Katharine Ricke et al., »Country-Level Social Cost of Carbon«, Nature
Climate Change 8, September 2018, S. 895-900,
http://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0282-y.
487 Weltbank, »South Asia's Hotspots: Impacts of Temperature and Precipitation
Changes on Living Standards«, Washington, D. C, 2018, S. xi.
488 Serie der Weltbankgruppe zu Klimawandel und Entwicklung, »Shock Waves:
Managing the Impacts of Climate Change on Poverty«, Washington, D.C., 2016, S.
xi, https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/
22787/9781464806735.pdf.
489 Union of Concerned Scientists, »Underwater: Rising Seas, Chronic Floods, and
the Implications for U.S. Coastal Real Estate«, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 2018,
S. 5,
www.ucsusa.org/global-warming/global-warming-impacts/sea-level-rise-chronic-floods-and-us-coastal-real-estate-implications
308
490 Union of Concerned Scientists, »New Study Finds 251 000 New Jersey Homes
Worth $107 Billion Will Be at Risk from Tidal Flooding«, 18. Juni 2018,
www.ucsusa.
org/press/2018/new-study-finds-251000-new-jersey-homes-worth-107-billion-will-be-risk-tidal-flooding#.W-o
1 FehKg2x.
491 Zach Wichter, »Too Hot to Fly? Climate Change Make Take a Toll on Flying«,
The New York Times, 20. Juni 2017.
492 Dirk Notz und Julienne Stroeve, »Observed Arctic Sea-Ice Loss Directly
Follows Anthropogenic C02 Emission«, Science 354, Nr. 6313, November 2016, S.
747-750, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aag2345.
493 Olav Vilnes et al., »From Finland to Switzerland - Firms Cut Output Amidst
Heatwave«, Montel News, 27. Juli 2018,
www.montelnews.com/en/story/from-finland-to-switzerland--firms-cut-output-amid-heatwave/921390.
494 Jim Yardley und Gardiner Harris, »Second Day of Power Failures Cripples Wide
Swath of India«, The New York Times, 31. Juli 2012.
495 Burke, »Global Non-Linear Effect of Temperature«, https://doi.org/10.1038/
nature 15725; Interview des Autors mit Marshall Burke.
496 Weltbank, »South Asia's Hotspots«, 2018. •
497 Hsiang, »Estimating Economic Damage from Climate Change«, https://doi.
org/10.1126/science.aal4369.
498 Zhengtao Zhang et al., »Analysis of the Economic Ripple Effect of the United
States on the World Due to Future Climate Change«, Earth's Future 6, Nr. 6, Juni
2018, S. 828-840, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF000839.
499 The New Climate Economy, »Unlocking the Inclusive Growth Story of the 21st
Century: Accelerating Climate Action in Urgent Times«, Washington, D.C., Global
Commission on the Economy and Climate, September 2018, S. 8, https://
newclimateeconomy.report/2018.
500 Marshall Burke et al., »Large Potential Reduction in Economic Damages Under
UN. Mitigation Targets«, Nature 557, Mai 2018, S. 549-553,
https://doi.org/10.1038/ s41586-018-0071-9.
2.11- Klimakonflikte
501 Solomon M. Hsiang et al., »Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict«, Science 341, Nr. 6151, September 2013, https://doi.org/10.1126/science. 1235367
502 Tamma A. Carleton und Solomon M. Hsiang, »Social and Economic Impacts of Climate«, Science 353, Nr. 6304, September 2016, http://doi.org/10.! 126/science.aad9837
Siehe auch Marshall Burke et al., »Warming Increases the Risk of Civil War in Africa«, Proceedings ofthe National Academy of Sciences 106, Nr. 49, Dezember 2009, S. 20670-20674, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0907998106. Das entspricht einem Anstieg um 54 Prozent.
309
503 Union of Concerned Scientists, »The U.S. Military on the Front Lines of
Rising Seas«, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 2016,
www.ucsusa.org/global-warming/science-and-impacts/impacts/sea-level-rise-flooding-us-military-bases#.W-pKUuhKg2x.
504 »Wir zeigen, dass die nonlineare Interaktion zwischen dem Anstieg des
Meeresspiegels und der Wellendynamik über den Riffs bei den aktuellen
Treibhausgasemissionen bis zur Mitte des 21. Jahrhunderts zu einem jährlichen
wellengetriebenen Überspülen der meisten Atollinseln führen wird. Diese
jährliche Überflutung wird die Inseln durch die regelmäßigen Schäden an der
Infrastruktur und die Tatsache, dass sich die Süßwasservorkommen zwischen den
einzelnen Überflutungsereignissen nicht erholen können, unbewohnbar machen.«
Curt D. Storlazzi et al., »Most Atolls Will Be Uninha-bitable by the Mid 21st
Century Because of Sea-Level Rise Exacerbating Wave-Driven Flooding«, Science
Advances 4, Nr. 4, April 2018, https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aap 9741.
505 Kim Wall, Coleen Jose und Jan Henrik Hinzel, »The Poison and the Tomb: One Family's Journey to Their Contaminated Home«, Mashable, 25. Februar 2018.
506 Katharina Nett und Lukas Rüttinger, »Insurgency, Terrorism and Organised Crime in a Warming Climate: Analysing the Links Between Climate Change and NonState Armed Croups«, Berlin, Adelphi, Oktober 2016.
507 Carl-Friedrich Schleussner et al., »Armed-Conflict Risks Enhanced by Climate-Related Disasters in Ethnically Fractionalized Countries«, Proceedings ofthe National Academy of Sciences 113, Nr. 33, August 2016, S. 9216-9221, https://doi.org/10.1073/ pnas.1601611113.
508 Verisk Maplecroft, »Climate Change and Environmental Risk Atlas 2015«, Bath, Oktober 2014, www.maplecroft.com/portfolio/new-analysis/2014/10/29/climate-change-and-lack-food-security-multiply-risks-conflict-and-civil-unrest-32-countries-maplecroft.
509 Christian Parenti, Im Wendekreis des Chaos: Klimawandel und die neue Geografie der Gewalt, Hamburg, Laika, 2013
510 Rafael Reuveny, »Climate Change-Induced Migration and Violent Conflict«, Political Geography 26, Nr. 6, August 2007, S. 656-673, https://doi.Org/10.1016/j.polgeo. 2007.05.001
511 Adrian Edwards, »Forced Displacement at Record 68.5 Million«, UNHCR, 19. Juni 2018, www.unhcr.org/en-us/news/stories/2018/6/5b222c494/forced-displace ment-record-685-million.html
512 William Wan, »Ancient Egypt's Rulers Mishandled Climate Disasters. Then the People Revolted«, The Washington Post, 17. Oktober 2017; H. M. Cullen et al., »Climate Change and the Collapse of the Akkadian Empire: Evidence from the Deep Sea«, Geo-logy 28, Nr. 4, April 2000, S. 379-382; Kyle Harper, »How Climate Change and Disease Helped the Fall of Rome«, Aeon, 15. Dezember 2017, https://aeon.co/ideas/how-climate-change-and-disease-helped-the-fall-of-rome.
310
513 Center for Climate and Security, »Epicenters of Climate and Security: The New Geostrategic Landscape of the Anthropocene«, Washington, D.C., Juni 2017, S. 12-17, https://climateandsecurity.files.wordpress.com/2017/06/l_erodingsovereignty.pdf
514 Weitere Ausführungen zu Pinkers Argumentation, die Welt sei besser geworden, finden sich in: Gewalt: Eine neue Geschichte der Menschheit, Frankfurt a. M, S. Fischer, 2011; für seine Darlegung, warum wir das nicht zu schätzen wissen, siehe: Aufklärung jetzt: Für Vernunft, Wissenschaft, Humanismus und Fortschritt - eine Verteidigung, Frankfurt a. M., S. Fischer, 2018
515 Leah H. Schinasi und Ghassan B. Hamra, »A Time Series Analysis of Association Between Daily Temperature and Crime Events in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania«, Journal ofUrban Health 94, Nr. 6, Dezember 2017, S. 892-900, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/ sll524-017-0181-y. Siehe auch Patrick Baylis, »Temperature and Temperament: Evidence from a Billion Tweets«, Arbeitspapier des Energy Institute der Haas School of Business, November 2015, https://ei.haas.berkeley.edu/research/papers/WP265.pdf. Siehe weiterhin Richard R Larrick et al., »Temper, Temperature, and Temptation«, Psy-chological Sciences 22, Nr. 4, Februar 2011, S. 423-428, http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/ 0956797611399292
516 Douglas T Kenrick et al., »Ambient Temperature and Hörn Honking: A Field Study of the Heat/Aggression Relationship«, Environment and Behavior, März 1986, https://doi.org/10.1177/0013916586182002. Siehe auch Aldert Vrij et al., »Aggression of Police Officers as a Function of Temperature: An Experiment with the Fire Arms Training System«, Journal of Community and Applied Social Psychology 4, Nr. 5, Dezember 1994, S. 365-370, https://doi.org/10.1002/casp.2450040505
517 Matthew Ranson, »Crime, Weather, and Climate Change«, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 67, Nr. 3, Mai 2014, S. 274-302, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2013.11.008
518 Jackson G. Lu et al., »Polluted Morality: Air Pollution Predicts Criminal Activity and Unethical Behavior«, Psychological Science 29, Nr. 3, Februar 2018, S. 340-355, https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797617735807
519 Nett und Rüttinger, »Insurgency, Terrorism and Organised Crime«, 2016, S. 37.
520 Ebd., S. 39. Siehe auch Daron Acemoglu, Giuseppe DeFeo und Giacomo de Luca, »Weak States: Causes and Consequences of the Sicilian Mafia«, VOX CEPR Po-licy Portal, 2. März 2018, https://voxeu.org/article/causes-and-consequences-sicilian-mafia
521 Nett und Rüttinger, »Insurgency, Terrorism and Organised Crime«, 2016, S. 35. Siehe auch UNICEF, Hidden in Piain Sight: A Statistical Analysis of Violence Against Children, New York, United Nations Children's Fund, 2014, S. 35, http://files.unicef.org/publications/files/Hidden_in_plain_sight_statistical_analysis_EN_3_Sept_2014.pdf
522 Pablo Imbach et al., »Coupling of Pollination Services and Coffee Suitability from Climate Change«, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114, Nr. 39, September 2017, S. 10438-10442, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1617940114; Martina K. Linnenluecke et al., »Implications of Climate Change for the Sugarcane Industry«, WIREs Climate Change 9, Nr. 1, Januar-Februar 2018, https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.498
312
523 »In Photos: Climate Change, Disasters and Displacement«, UNHCR, 1. Januar 2015, www.unhcr.org/en-us/climate-change-and-disasters.html.
524 Emily Schmall und Frank Bajak, »FEMA Sees Trailers Only as Last Resort After Harvey, Irma«, Associated Press, 10. September 2017, https://apnews.com/7716fb8483 5b48808839fbc888e96fb7. Siehe auch Greg Allen, »Lessons from Hurricane Irma: When to Evacuate and When to Shelter in Place«, NPR, 1. Juni 2018, www.npr.org/ 2018/06/01 /615293318/lessons-from-hurricane-irma-when-to-evacuate-and-when-to-shelter-in-place
525 Andrew D. King und Luke J. Harrington, »The Inequality of Climate Change from 1.5 to 2°C of Global Warming«, Geophysical Research Letters 45, Nr. 10, Mai 2018, S. 5030-5033, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078430
526 Ebd.
527 Katinka X. Ruthrof et al., »Subcontinental Heat Wave Triggers Terrestrial and Marine, Multi-Taxa Responses«, Scientific Reports 8, August 2018, S. 13094, https://doi. org/10.1038/s41598-018-31236-5
528 Australisches Parlament, »Implications of Climate Change for Australia's National Security, Final Report, Chapter 2«, www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary_Business/Com-mittees/Senate/Foreign_Affairs_Defence_and_Trade/Nationalsecurity/Final%20Re-port/c02; Ben Doherty, »Climate Change an >Existential Security Risk< to Australia, Senate Inquiry Says«, The Guardian, 17. Mai 2018
529 Weltbank, Groundswell: Preparingfor Internal Climate Migration, Washington, D.C., 2018, S. xix, https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/29461
530 Internationale Organisation für Migration, »Migration, Environment and Climate Change: Assessing the Evidence«, Vereinte Nationen, Genf, 2009, S. 43
531 Frank C. Curriero et al., »The Association Between Extreme Precipitation and Waterborne Disease Outbreaks in the United States, 1948-1994«, American Journal of Public Health 91, Nr. 8, August 2001, https://doi.Org/10.2105/AJPH.91.8.1194
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